Tvaaker 5-3 Astrio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Jun 2025

📅12/06/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-12.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+10.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Astrio EU Bookmakers 32%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/2.25
-100% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tvaaker
5-3
AWAY Astrio
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tvaaker vs Astrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tvaaker got the better of Astrio 5-3. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Tvaaker made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tvaaker had 35% of the ball to Astrio's 65%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Tvaaker vs Astrio?

Tvaaker 5-3 Astrio in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tvaaker vs Astrio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tvaaker 35%, draw 27%, Astrio 38%. The final score 5-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Astrio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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