MC Alger 5-2 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 12 Jun 2025

MC Alger
5-2 HT 2-1
Mostaganem
📅12/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

MC Alger vs Mostaganem Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.1
6+ Goals
11%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MC Alger v Mostaganem — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.93/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.19
+17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +30%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

MC Alger vs Mostaganem Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mostaganem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
02.02.2025 Mostaganem Mostaganem 1-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger swept aside Mostaganem 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs Mostaganem?

MC Alger 5-2 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 58%, draw 24%, Mostaganem 18%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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CZYR More Algeria - 1st Division
12 Jun 2025
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