Kanada 1-1 Bosna-Hersek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 12 Jun 2026

📅12/06/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
39%
2.42
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
16%
4.19
X/2
8%
8.72
X/X
7%
4.26
2/1
4%
27.5
2/2
9%
7.49
2/X
4%
16.05
Value flag · 1/1 at 2.42 — our 39% vs market 34.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
52%
+7.2pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.6pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bosna-Hersek EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada
1-1
AWAY Bosna-Hersek
1.23 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
310 Passes 172
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
37 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kanada vs Bosna-Hersek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada and Bosna-Hersek shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kanada at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kanada had 61% of the ball to Bosna-Hersek's 39%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.23 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Kanada vs Bosna-Hersek?

Kanada 1-1 Bosna-Hersek in the World Cup on 12/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada vs Bosna-Hersek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kanada 59%, draw 21%, Bosna-Hersek 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kanada) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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