12/07/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-4
2nd Score
0-3
Super Nova vs Rigas FS II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
23%
Draw
25%
50%
Away Win
53%
44%
Under 2.5
36%
56%
Over 2.5
64%
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
54%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Super Nova v Rigas FS II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Super Nova
EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rigas FS II
EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+14%
/
-50%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
6
312 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
364 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Super Nova vs Rigas FS II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Super Nova edged past Rigas FS II 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Rigas FS II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Rigas FS II?
Super Nova 1-0 Rigas FS II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Rigas FS II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 27%, draw 23%, Rigas FS II 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rigas FS II), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Rigas FS II)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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