Al Ahly 3-2 Pyramids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.6pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.1pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pyramids EU Bookmakers 33%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.27/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.11
+101% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
10.4 Crosses 25.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Pyramids
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
405 Passes 376
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
05.05.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRSK
10.04.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSRK
02.01.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 1-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
16.07.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
26.06.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 1-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
3-2
AWAY Pyramids
1.82 xG 0.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
265 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 10
5 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Pyramids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly nicked a narrow win over Pyramids 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Al Ahly made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahly had 48% of the ball to Pyramids's 52%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 1.82 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahly and 1.17 for Pyramids.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Pyramids?

Al Ahly 3-2 Pyramids in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Pyramids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 37%, draw 26%, Pyramids 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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