Sorrento 1-2 Fremantle City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremantle City EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.44/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.85
+24% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fremantle City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.04.2025 Fremantle City Fremantle City 1-1 HT 0-0 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sorrento vs Fremantle City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremantle City squeezed past Sorrento 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sorrento at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Sorrento vs Fremantle City?

Sorrento 1-2 Fremantle City in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento vs Fremantle City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sorrento win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sorrento 43%, draw 25%, Fremantle City 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sorrento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sorrento) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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