Inter Turku 3-1 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Jul 2025

Inter Turku
3-1 HT 3-0
Jaro
📅12/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

Inter Turku vs Jaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
31%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.53
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.9
X/1
23%
3.91
X/2
7%
18.3
X/X
7%
7.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.75
2/2
6%
15.5
2/X
6%
23.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-8.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Turku v Jaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.42/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.70
+1% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
21.1 Crosses 13.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Inter Turku vs Jaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.76 xG 0.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 195
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.06.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
15.10.2015 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
23.08.2015 Jaro Jaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
11.05.2015 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
25.10.2014 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
11.06.2014 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN

Inter Turku 3-1 Jaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
3-1
AWAY Jaro
2.89 xG 1.11
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 8
503 Passes 214
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
52 Box Touches 23
31 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku got the better of Jaro 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Inter Turku had 66% of the ball to Jaro's 34%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 2.89 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Inter Turku and 0.50 for Jaro.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Jaro?

Inter Turku 3-1 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 63%, draw 20%, Jaro 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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