Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 23% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.95
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
16%
4.15
X/2
8%
11.2
X/X
11%
6.21
2/1
10%
21.0
2/2
10%
8.78
2/X
8%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.73/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.14
-2% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -34%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
488 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.1 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Daegu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
463 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
10.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
26.06.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
01.05.2024 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
29.10.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
05.08.2023 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
2-2
AWAY Daegu
72% Ball Possession 28%
27 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
499 Passes 156
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
45 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai and Daegu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 72% of the ball to Daegu's 28%, shots finished 27-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 0.17 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Daegu?

Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 51%, draw 26%, Daegu 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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