Avai 2-0 Nautico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 12 Jul 2026

Avai
2-0 HT 1-0
Nautico
📅12/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Avai vs Nautico Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 33% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avai v Nautico — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nautico EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.14/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.34
-4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.7 Crosses 21.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Avai vs Nautico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nautico
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 0.91
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 336
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2021 Nautico Nautico 1-2 HT 0-1 Avai Avai BR2
15.08.2021 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
07.11.2020 Nautico Nautico 2-2 HT 0-1 Avai Avai BR2
09.08.2020 Avai Avai 3-1 HT 2-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
12.11.2016 Avai Avai 3-0 HT 2-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
23.07.2016 Nautico Nautico 3-1 HT 2-0 Avai Avai BR2

Avai 2-0 Nautico — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
2-0
AWAY Nautico
2.33 xG 0.98
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
172 Passes 480
14 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avai vs Nautico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai beat Nautico 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Avai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.33 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Avai and 1.17 for Nautico.

What was the final score of Avai vs Nautico?

Avai 2-0 Nautico in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Nautico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avai 38%, draw 28%, Nautico 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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