Norveç 1-2 İngiltere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.95
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
9%
8.11
X/2
18%
4.63
X/X
9%
4.84
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.54
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.95 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
51%
Away Win
51%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norveç EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
Crosses 22.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norveç
0W-0D-2L
AWAY İngiltere
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
03.09.2014 İngiltere İngiltere 1-0 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç HAZ
26.05.2012 Norveç Norveç 0-1 HT 0-1 İngiltere İngiltere HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norveç
1-2
AWAY İngiltere
0.68 xG 1.04
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
494 Passes 567
28 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Norveç vs İngiltere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere squeezed past Norveç 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had İngiltere as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.68 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İngiltere led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Norveç and 1.00 for İngiltere.

What was the final score of Norveç vs İngiltere?

Norveç 1-2 İngiltere in the World Cup on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norveç vs İngiltere?

Before kick-off our model rated an İngiltere win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Norveç 25%, draw 24%, İngiltere 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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