Barwell 0-1 Banbury United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
41%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
46%
-14.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
41%
Away Win
30%
+11.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.0pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Banbury United EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.79/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.86
+9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +82%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Banbury United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
09.04.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-6 HT 2-3 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
21.08.2021 Banbury United Banbury United 3-2 HT 2-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
0-1
AWAY Banbury United
45% Ball Possession 55%
1 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Banbury United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banbury United nicked a narrow win over Barwell 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Banbury United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barwell had 45% of the ball to Banbury United's 55%, shots finished 1-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Banbury United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barwell and 4.50 for Banbury United.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Banbury United?

Barwell 0-1 Banbury United in the England - Non League Premier on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Banbury United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banbury United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barwell 32%, draw 27%, Banbury United 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banbury United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Banbury United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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