12/08/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Colon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
25%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
37%
Draw
34%
36%
Away Win
43%
69%
Under 2.5
75%
31%
Over 2.5
25%
29%
BTTS Yes
34%
71%
BTTS No
66%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gimnasia Y Tiro v Colon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gimnasia Y Tiro
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Colon
EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-41% /
-41%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.37/1.25
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-69%
/
-30%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
6
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
3
2
Corners
4
271 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
236 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Colon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Colon
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
41%
Ball Possession
59%
3
Total Shots
16
3
Corners
8
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Colon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gimnasia Y Tiro squeezed past Colon 1-0.
Our pre-match split (27% / 37% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Y Tiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (71%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Colon?
Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Colon in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Colon?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 27%, draw 37%, Colon 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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12 Aug 2024