Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Aug 2024

Estudiantes
0-2 HT 0-1
Independiente
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+4.0pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-4.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
-0.0pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.33/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.17
-4% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.1 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Estudiantes vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Independiente
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 284
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
09.04.2023 Independiente Independiente 1-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
21.06.2022 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
13.02.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
26.07.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
15.05.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ

Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
0-2
AWAY Independiente
0.75 xG 0.56
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
353 Passes 199
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente got the better of Estudiantes 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes had 61% of the ball to Independiente's 39%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.75 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes and 1.00 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Independiente?

Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 42%, draw 35%, Independiente 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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