Viborg 2-3 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 12 Aug 2024

Viborg
2-3 HT 2-2
Aalborg
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Viborg vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.31
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
17%
4.51
X/2
9%
8.92
X/X
8%
5.51
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
13%
6.01
2/X
11%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viborg v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
1.69/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.61
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.5 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Viborg vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aalborg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
422 Passes 402
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
02.03.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAK
24.10.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 1-3 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
17.07.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
29.05.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
25.10.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 2-5 HT 1-2 Viborg Viborg DAN

Viborg 2-3 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
2-3
AWAY Aalborg
2.20 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 3
336 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 26
34 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg edged past Viborg 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Viborg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Viborg had 51% of the ball to Aalborg's 49%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.20 to 1.06 — on chances, Viborg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Viborg and 1.17 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Aalborg?

Viborg 2-3 Aalborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Viborg 45%, draw 25%, Aalborg 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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