Atlante 3-1 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Aug 2024

Atlante
3-1 HT 2-0
Monarcas Morelia
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Atlante vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.6pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlante v Monarcas Morelia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
1.84/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.37
+2% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards –

Atlante vs Monarcas Morelia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
16.10.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
27.02.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
12.08.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
24.03.2022 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
10.10.2021 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante saw off Monarcas Morelia 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlante and 0.17 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Monarcas Morelia?

Atlante 3-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atlante 55%, draw 27%, Monarcas Morelia 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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