Cerro Porteno vs Sol De America Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Porteno v Sol De America — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Porteno vs Sol De America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Cerro Porteno
PAR
0-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Porteno
PAR
2-0
HT 1-0
Sol De America
PAR
2-1
HT 1-1
Cerro Porteno
PAR
4-0
HT 2-0
Sol De America
PAR
Cerro Porteno 1-0 Sol De America — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno nicked a narrow win over Sol De America 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Cerro Porteno had 72% of the ball to Sol De America's 28%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 2.22 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cerro Porteno's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.33 for Sol De America.
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sol De America?
Cerro Porteno 1-0 Sol De America in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sol De America?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 55%, draw 25%, Sol De America 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.