Wisla Krakow 3-1 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 12 Aug 2024

Wisla Krakow
3-1 HT 1-0
Ruch Chorzow
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Wisla Krakow vs Ruch Chorzow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 25% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wisla Krakow v Ruch Chorzow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.74/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.84
+93% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Wisla Krakow vs Ruch Chorzow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2023 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
16.09.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-1 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
16.12.2016 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
14.08.2016 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-2 HT 1-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
03.04.2016 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-3 HT 1-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
30.10.2015 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL

Wisla Krakow 3-1 Ruch Chorzow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
3-1
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow got the better of Ruch Chorzow 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Wisla Krakow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 57% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 43%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.33 for Ruch Chorzow.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Ruch Chorzow?

Wisla Krakow 3-1 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 38%, draw 27%, Ruch Chorzow 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Krakow), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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