Piast Gliwice 2-2 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.55
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
18%
4.02
X/2
11%
8.17
X/X
13%
4.08
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
11%
6.87
2/X
6%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.36/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.22
-1% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.1 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
2-2
AWAY Katowice
2.07 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
353 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice and Katowice shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Piast Gliwice at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 53% of the ball to Katowice's 47%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.07 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Katowice?

Piast Gliwice 2-2 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 46%, draw 25%, Katowice 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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