Gil Vicente U23 0-1 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
09.12.2023 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
26.09.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
0-1
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 nicked a narrow win over Gil Vicente U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 58% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 42%, shots finished 24-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 1.50 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Gil Vicente U23 0-1 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 45%, draw 24%, Sporting Braga U23 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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