Indy Eleven 1-3 New Mexico United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 12 Aug 2024

Indy Eleven
1 - 3 HT 1 - 0
New Mexico United
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Indy Eleven vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.2
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.94
Over
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.66
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.3
6+
6%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Indy Eleven v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Indy Eleven The Market 45%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United The Market 37%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.58
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

Indy Eleven vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
0W-0D-2L
AWAY New Mexico United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.40 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
442 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 3-2 HT 1-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
28.05.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-2 HT 0-1 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP

Indy Eleven 1-3 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
1 - 3
AWAY New Mexico United
0.59 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
217 Passes 313
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Indy Eleven vs New Mexico United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

New Mexico United took care of Indy Eleven 3-1 on their travels. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day New Mexico United made the difference. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (57%) landed.

On the day, New Mexico United saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.59 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Indy Eleven against 2.50 for New Mexico United.

Indy Eleven vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score

Indy Eleven 1 - 3 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Indy Eleven vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 40%, draw 26%, New Mexico United 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Indy Eleven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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