Real Esteli vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Real Esteli v Alianza — Team-Based Signals
Real Esteli 3-1 Alianza — Actual Match Statistics
Real Esteli put daylight between themselves and Alianza 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Alianza saw more of the ball, 67% to 33%, shots finished 9-11.
Real Esteli vs Alianza Result & Final Score
Real Esteli 3 - 1 Alianza in the CONCACAF - Central American Cup on 12/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Real Esteli vs Alianza Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 60%, draw 25%, Alianza 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.