Internacional 2-1 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.16
X/2
10%
7.33
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
8%
6.11
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.62/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.42
+8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.0 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 1.57
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
424 Passes 266
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
16.04.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
08.08.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 3-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
18.04.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
19.09.2021 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
06.06.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 5-1 HT 2-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2-1
AWAY Fortaleza
1.76 xG 1.09
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
479 Passes 257
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional nicked a narrow win over Fortaleza 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 61% of the ball to Fortaleza's 39%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.76 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Internacional and 1.83 for Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Fortaleza?

Internacional 2-1 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Internacional 48%, draw 28%, Fortaleza 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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