TPS Turku 0-1 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
2.08/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.17
+0% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
2W-0D-2L
AWAY JIPPO
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 2-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
08.06.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
03.08.2021 JIPPO JIPPO 0-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.05.2021 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
0-1
AWAY JIPPO
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO nicked a narrow win over TPS Turku 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was TPS Turku at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TPS Turku had 70% of the ball to JIPPO's 30%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for TPS Turku and 0.75 for JIPPO.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs JIPPO?

TPS Turku 0-1 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 45%, draw 29%, JIPPO 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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