12/09/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
0-3
Bozüyük Vitraspor vs Bursaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Over 2.5
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
7%
25%
Draw
14%
53%
Away Win
79%
43%
Under 2.5
36%
57%
Over 2.5
64%
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
48%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bozüyük Vitraspor v Bursaspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bozüyük Vitraspor
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bursaspor
EU Bookmakers 84%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
0.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.83/0.08
-100%
/
+96%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-59%
/
+150%
41%
Ball Possession
59%
9
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
7
205 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
485 · 87%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bozüyük Vitraspor vs Bursaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bursaspor squeezed past Bozüyük Vitraspor 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bursaspor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bozüyük Vitraspor vs Bursaspor?
Bozüyük Vitraspor 0-1 Bursaspor in the Turkey - Cup on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bozüyük Vitraspor vs Bursaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bursaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bozüyük Vitraspor 23%, draw 25%, Bursaspor 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bursaspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bursaspor)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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TÜK
More Turkey - Cup
12 Sep 2024