Sheffield United U21 2-1 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 12 Sep 2025

Sheffield United U21
2-1 HT 1-0
Derby County U21
📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
England - Premier League Cup – 2025/2026

Sheffield United U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.17
Over 2.5
70%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.3pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.9pp
30%
Under 2.5
28%
+1.5pp
70%
Over 2.5
72%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield United U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
396 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Sheffield United U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United U21 edged past Derby County U21 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sheffield United U21 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Sheffield United U21 vs Derby County U21?

Sheffield United U21 2-1 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United U21 58%, draw 15%, Derby County U21 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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