Etoile Carouge 2-1 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 58%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.38/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.75
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
11.0 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yverdon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
05.09.2020 Yverdon Yverdon 6-0 HT 2-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
2-1
AWAY Yverdon
1.15 xG 0.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
266 Passes 500
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge nicked a narrow win over Yverdon 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Yverdon at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 41% of the ball to Yverdon's 59%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.15 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon?

Etoile Carouge 2-1 Yverdon in the Switzerland Challenge League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 24%, draw 23%, Yverdon 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yverdon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yverdon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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