ES Ben Aknoun 1-0 Paradou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
5.31
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.2pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradou EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.46/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.90
+26% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Paradou
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2024 Paradou Paradou 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun CZYR
18.11.2023 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 0-1 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
1-0
AWAY Paradou
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ES Ben Aknoun vs Paradou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Ben Aknoun edged past Paradou 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; ES Ben Aknoun found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ES Ben Aknoun had 48% of the ball to Paradou's 52%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paradou led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for ES Ben Aknoun and 0.50 for Paradou.

What was the final score of ES Ben Aknoun vs Paradou?

ES Ben Aknoun 1-0 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Ben Aknoun vs Paradou?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Ben Aknoun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ES Ben Aknoun 41%, draw 23%, Paradou 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYR More Algeria - 1st Division
12 Sep 2025
18:00 Oued Akbou vs MC Alger Analysis →
21:00 MC Oran vs JS Kabylie Analysis →