Varzim 2-2 Paredes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Sep 2025

Varzim
2-2 HT 0-1
Paredes
📅12/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Varzim vs Paredes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varzim v Paredes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Paredes EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.22/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.71
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +82%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Varzim vs Paredes Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Paredes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
12.03.2023 Paredes Paredes 1-0 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
02.12.2022 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3

Varzim 2-2 Paredes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-2
AWAY Paredes
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Paredes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim and Paredes shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varzim had 55% of the ball to Paredes's 45%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Varzim and 0.50 for Paredes.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Paredes?

Varzim 2-2 Paredes in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Paredes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varzim 38%, draw 30%, Paredes 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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