Padova Calcio vs Ascoli Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Italy - Serie B, 12 Sep 2026

📅12/09/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.13
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ascoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.88
53% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
332 Passes 253
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2019 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
10.11.2018 Ascoli Ascoli 2-3 HT 1-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
22.04.2013 Ascoli Ascoli 0-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
01.12.2012 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
26.05.2012 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-2 HT 0-2 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
06.01.2012 Ascoli Ascoli 0-2 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
PREVIEW Padova Calcio vs Ascoli
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Padova Calcio edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

One side has usually been blanked in Padova Calcio's home league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.17 for Ascoli.

Padova Calcio vs Ascoli Kick-off Time

Padova Calcio play Ascoli in the Italy - Serie B on 12/09/2026, kick-off 16:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Padova Calcio vs Ascoli Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Padova Calcio vs Ascoli is a Padova Calcio win at about 43% probability, priced 2.13 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Padova Calcio 43%, draw 29%, Ascoli 28%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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