12/09/2026
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
⟳Odds and our pick may update before kickoff — check again closer to match time. This match may also enter or leave our daily prediction lists until kick-off; from kick-off, a listed pick is locked and stays published.
Spezia vs Livorno Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
Unlock the full board
Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
STRENGTH —
pattern support:
Good
→ Great
· fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
Spezia v Livorno — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
Spezia vs Livorno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Spezia
6W-0D-0L
AWAY
Livorno
2.33
Avg Goals (FT)
0.33
2.11
xG
1.16
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
3
361
Passes
361
79%
Pass Accuracy
78%
19
Box Touches
15
14
Crosses
24
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
PREVIEW
Spezia vs Livorno
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW
Spezia start as strong favourites on our numbers; Livorno's job is to make the game ugly early.
Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Livorno's last 5 away league games.
Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia have the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Spezia against 0.33 for Livorno.
Spezia vs Livorno Kick-off Time
Spezia play Livorno in the Italy - Serie C on 12/09/2026, kick-off 19:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Spezia vs Livorno Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Spezia vs Livorno is a Spezia win at about 56% probability, priced 1.74 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Spezia 56%, draw 27%, Livorno 17%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTC
More Italy - Serie C
12 Sep 2026