Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Germany - Bundesliga, 12 Sep 2026

📅12/09/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
79%
1.27
Draw
13%
5.39
Away
8%
7.88
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Paderborn
4.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.11 xG 1.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
546 Passes 305
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2021 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-2 HT 2-0 Paderborn Paderborn AFK
31.05.2020 Paderborn Paderborn 1-6 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
22.11.2019 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-3 HT 0-3 Paderborn Paderborn AL1
17.01.2017 Paderborn Paderborn 1-6 HT 1-2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund HAZ
28.10.2015 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7-1 HT 3-1 Paderborn Paderborn AFK
18.04.2015 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL1
PREVIEW Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

On our read, Borussia Dortmund at home is the clear lean — the question is whether the price already knows it.

The home form book backs Borussia Dortmund: 4 wins in their last 5 league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.67 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.33 for Paderborn.

Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Kick-off Time

Borussia Dortmund play Paderborn in the Germany - Bundesliga on 12/09/2026, kick-off 16:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn is a Borussia Dortmund win at about 79% probability, priced 1.27 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Borussia Dortmund 79%, draw 13%, Paderborn 8%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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