Arsenal (K) 1-2 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.04 xG 1.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
324 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-1 HT 3-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
13.10.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
13.01.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
14.10.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 0-5 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
01.04.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
07.01.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-2 HT 1-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
1-2
AWAY Chelsea (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) edged past Arsenal (K) 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 56% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 44%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Arsenal (K) and 1.83 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Arsenal (K) 1-2 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 30%, draw 27%, Chelsea (K) 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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