Burnley U21 2-0 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
28%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-1.3pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+2.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.5pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
264 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 got the better of Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Burnley U21 2-0 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 21%, draw 19%, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 60%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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