12/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Cham vs Baden Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
23%
Draw
23%
26%
Away Win
25%
44%
Under 2.5
38%
56%
Over 2.5
62%
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
45%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cham v Baden — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cham
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Baden
EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% /
+15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+20% /
+20%
2.20/1.22
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.26/1.59
+19%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-13%
/
+17%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
5
384 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.6
Yellow Cards
–
Cham vs Baden Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Cham
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Baden
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
19.11.2022
Cham
0-2
HT 0-0
Baden
İSV1Y
0-2
HT 0-0
Baden
İSV1Y
POST-MATCH
Cham vs Baden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cham beat Baden 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cham as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Cham vs Baden?
Cham 2-0 Baden in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cham vs Baden?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cham win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cham 51%, draw 23%, Baden 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cham) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Cham)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSV1Y
More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
12 Oct 2024