Deportivo (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
33%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.0pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.1pp
33%
Away Win
48%
-14.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
Crosses 12.1
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo (K)
1-0
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.05 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
305 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo (K) squeezed past Madrid CFF (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Deportivo (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo (K) had 49% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 51%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.05 to 1.13.

What was the final score of Deportivo (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Deportivo (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Deportivo (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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