Borac Banja Luka 2-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.3pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.80/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.56
+1% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borac Banja Luka
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Velez Mostar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-1 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
24.02.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
01.10.2023 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 2-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
01.05.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-0 HT 1-0 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
04.03.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
10.09.2022 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borac Banja Luka
2-1
AWAY Velez Mostar
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borac Banja Luka edged past Velez Mostar 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Borac Banja Luka as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Borac Banja Luka had 65% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 35%, shots finished 26-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Borac Banja Luka and 0.67 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar?

Borac Banja Luka 2-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borac Banja Luka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Borac Banja Luka 50%, draw 28%, Velez Mostar 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) ✗ Under 2.5
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