Middelfart 1-2 FC Helsingor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.83/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.65
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Helsingor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.06.2020 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-2 HT 0-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
1-2
AWAY FC Helsingor
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs FC Helsingor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Helsingor nicked a narrow win over Middelfart 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Middelfart at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Middelfart had 41% of the ball to FC Helsingor's 59%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs FC Helsingor?

Middelfart 1-2 FC Helsingor in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs FC Helsingor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 47%, draw 23%, FC Helsingor 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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