12/10/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Naesby vs Sundby Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
26%
Draw
22%
22%
Away Win
18%
47%
Under 2.5
41%
53%
Over 2.5
59%
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
52%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naesby v Sundby — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naesby
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sundby
EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-14% /
-14%
2.37/1.08
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.49/2.52
+31%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-58%
/
-26%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
424 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
281 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.8
Yellow Cards
4.0
POST-MATCH
Naesby vs Sundby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sundby saw off Naesby 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Naesby vs Sundby?
Naesby 0-2 Sundby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naesby vs Sundby?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Naesby 52%, draw 26%, Sundby 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Naesby)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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DAN3
More Denmark - 3rd Division
12 Oct 2024