Peru 1-0 Uruguay — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — World Cup Qualifiers, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 16:58
Match Result
Home
20%
4.12
Draw
31%
3.02
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
65%
1.52
Over
35%
2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.13
2-3
46%
1.82
4-5
14%
5.98
6+
2%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.63
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
9%
8.42
X/2
17%
3.93
X/X
21%
3.51
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.62
2/X
5%
15.4
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Peru The Market 24%
Signal
AWAY Uruguay The Market 53%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.85 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
1.41 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.71
Average Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peru
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Uruguay
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.41 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
360 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2022 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 1-0 Peru Peru DKE
03.09.2021 Peru Peru 1-1 HT 1-1 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
16.10.2019 Peru Peru 1-1 HT 1-0 Uruguay Uruguay HAZ
12.10.2019 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 1-0 Peru Peru HAZ
29.06.2019 Uruguay Uruguay 0-0 HT 0-0 Peru Peru AKU
29.03.2017 Peru Peru 2-1 HT 1-1 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peru
1 - 0
AWAY Uruguay
0.71 xG 0.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
224 Passes 445
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Peru vs Uruguay
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Peru found just enough to beat Uruguay 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match lean was Uruguay at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Peru had 38% of the ball to Uruguay's 62%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.71 to 0.36.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Peru and 0.83 for Uruguay.

Peru vs Uruguay Result & Final Score

Peru 1 - 0 Uruguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Peru vs Uruguay Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Peru 20%, draw 31%, Uruguay 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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