Peru 1-0 Uruguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 12 Oct 2024

Peru
1-0 HT 0-0
Uruguay
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Peru vs Uruguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
5.98
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.63
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
10%
16.4
X/1
15%
8.42
X/2
10%
3.93
X/X
13%
3.51
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.62
2/X
5%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+10.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-8.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.3pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peru v Uruguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peru EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay EU Bookmakers 53%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.51/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.56
-8% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
17.9 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Peru vs Uruguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peru
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Uruguay
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.41 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
360 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.03.2022 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 1-0 Peru Peru DKE
03.09.2021 Peru Peru 1-1 HT 1-1 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
16.10.2019 Peru Peru 1-1 HT 1-0 Uruguay Uruguay HAZ
12.10.2019 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 1-0 Peru Peru HAZ
29.06.2019 Uruguay Uruguay 0-0 HT 0-0 Peru Peru AKU
29.03.2017 Peru Peru 2-1 HT 1-1 Uruguay Uruguay DKE

Peru 1-0 Uruguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peru
1-0
AWAY Uruguay
0.71 xG 0.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
224 Passes 445
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peru vs Uruguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peru edged past Uruguay 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Peru found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Peru had 38% of the ball to Uruguay's 62%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.71 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Peru and 0.83 for Uruguay.

What was the final score of Peru vs Uruguay?

Peru 1-0 Uruguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peru vs Uruguay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Peru 32%, draw 28%, Uruguay 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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