Peru vs Uruguay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Peru v Uruguay — Team-Based Signals
Peru vs Uruguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Peru 1-0 Uruguay — Actual Match Statistics
Peru found just enough to beat Uruguay 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match lean was Uruguay at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Peru had 38% of the ball to Uruguay's 62%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.71 to 0.36.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Peru and 0.83 for Uruguay.
Peru vs Uruguay Result & Final Score
Peru 1 - 0 Uruguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Peru vs Uruguay Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Peru 20%, draw 31%, Uruguay 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay) went the other way.