Orijent 1919 1-1 Jarun — Result, Stats & Model Review (Croatia - 2.HNL, 12 Oct 2024)

Orijent 1919

1-1 HT 1-0

Jarun

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗

Croatia - 2.HNL – 2024/2025

Orijent 1919 vs Jarun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

39%

2.0

Draw

21%

3.35

Away

40%

3.25

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57%

1.64

Over 2.5

43%

2.15

Both Teams to Score

Yes

38%

1.96

62%

1.75

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

32%

2-3 Goals

48%

4-5 Goals

13%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

11%

1/2

1/X

X/1

22%

X/2

14%

X/X

12%

2/1

2/2

22%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

39%

Home Win

46%

-6.9pp

21%

Draw

26%

-5.1pp

39%

Away Win

27%

+12.0pp

57%

Under 2.5

57%

-0.1pp

43%

Over 2.5

43%

+0.1pp

38%

BTTS Yes

47%

-9.3pp

62%

BTTS No

53%

+9.3pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orijent 1919 v Jarun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 50%

Head to Head

AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 31%

+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%

1.19/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.90

-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +59%

53% Ball Possession 47%

12 Total Shots 10

4 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 4

328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Orijent 1919 vs Jarun Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Orijent 1919

0W-1D-0L

AWAY Jarun

0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00

57% Ball Possession 43%

22 Total Shots 5

5 Shots on Target 1

9 Corners 3

2 Yellow Cards 1

The Meetings

01.06.2024 Orijent 1919

0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun

Jarun HIR2

Orijent 1919 1-1 Jarun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Orijent 1919

1-1

AWAY Jarun

40% Ball Possession 60%

8 Total Shots 13

2 Shots on Target 4

4 Corners 13

POST-MATCH Orijent 1919 vs Jarun

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orijent 1919 and Jarun shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Orijent 1919 had 40% of the ball to Jarun's 60%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Orijent 1919 vs Jarun?

Orijent 1919 1-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orijent 1919 vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orijent 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orijent 1919 39%, draw 21%, Jarun 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/21/39) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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