Ajax (K) 5-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
24%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
80%
-22.8pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
7%
+17.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
3.88/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.44/0.51
+73% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
570 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
0.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
22.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
5-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 1
16 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) cruised past Fortuna Sittard (K) 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 74% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard (K)'s 26%, shots finished 21-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ajax (K) and 0.50 for Fortuna Sittard (K).

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Ajax (K) 5-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 58%, draw 18%, Fortuna Sittard (K) 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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