Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Oct 2024

Tepatitlán de Morelos
1-1 HT 1-0
CDS Tampico Madero
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tepatitlán de Morelos v CDS Tampico Madero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.14/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.35
-18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos and CDS Tampico Madero couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tepatitlán de Morelos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 42%, draw 29%, CDS Tampico Madero 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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