Ikorodu City 3-0 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.36
Over 2.5
45%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
70%
-15.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
30%
+15.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City ran out comfortable winners over Bendel Insurance 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Bendel Insurance?

Ikorodu City 3-0 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 43%, draw 32%, Bendel Insurance 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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