Oliveira Hospital 1-2 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 40%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.02/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.00
+58% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
1-2
AWAY Uniao Santarem
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem nicked a narrow win over Oliveira Hospital 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Uniao Santarem made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 49% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 51%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Uniao Santarem?

Oliveira Hospital 1-2 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 39%, draw 28%, Uniao Santarem 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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