Puchov 3-1 Samorin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puchov EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Samorin EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.40/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.87
-17% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puchov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samorin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Puchov Puchov 1-6 HT 0-4 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
06.08.2023 Samorin Samorin 2-5 HT 2-3 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
09.11.2022 Samorin Samorin 1-1 HT 0-0 Puchov Puchov SLOVK
22.10.2022 Puchov Puchov 0-1 HT 0-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
17.04.2022 Samorin Samorin 2-3 HT 1-2 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
25.09.2021 Puchov Puchov 2-1 HT 0-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puchov
3-1
AWAY Samorin
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Puchov vs Samorin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puchov beat Samorin 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Puchov as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Puchov had 48% of the ball to Samorin's 52%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puchov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Puchov and 2.17 for Samorin.

What was the final score of Puchov vs Samorin?

Puchov 3-1 Samorin in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puchov vs Samorin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puchov win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Puchov 42%, draw 22%, Samorin 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puchov), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puchov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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