Kuzey İrlanda U21 5-0 Azerbaycan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.95
Over Pick
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.53
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.39
6+
8%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey İrlanda U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Azerbaycan U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
3.97/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+79% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +85%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
449 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey İrlanda U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Azerbaycan U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Corners 6
12.10.2023 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Kuzey İrlanda U21 Kuzey İrlanda U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey İrlanda U21
5-0
AWAY Azerbaycan U21
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey İrlanda U21 vs Azerbaycan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey İrlanda U21 cruised past Azerbaycan U21 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kuzey İrlanda U21 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kuzey İrlanda U21 had 59% of the ball to Azerbaycan U21's 41%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Kuzey İrlanda U21 vs Azerbaycan U21?

Kuzey İrlanda U21 5-0 Azerbaycan U21 in the European U21 on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey İrlanda U21 vs Azerbaycan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey İrlanda U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kuzey İrlanda U21 53%, draw 22%, Azerbaycan U21 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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