Tormenta 2-2 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.47/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.47
-21% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.6 Crosses 13.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-3 HT 0-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
01.10.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
28.05.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-1 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
30.04.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-3 HT 0-3 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
03.10.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 1-1 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
08.09.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 3-1 HT 0-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
2-2
AWAY Richmond Kickers
0.84 xG 2.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
247 Passes 395
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 26
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta and Richmond Kickers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tormenta at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tormenta had 40% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 60%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.84 to 2.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tormenta and 1.50 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Richmond Kickers?

Tormenta 2-2 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 42%, draw 28%, Richmond Kickers 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tormenta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tormenta) ✓ BTTS Yes
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