Western Springs 1-3 Birkenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
3.68
Over Pick
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.28
No
46%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
29%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
74%
-20.2pp
46%
BTTS No
26%
+20.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Springs EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkenhead United EU Bookmakers 39%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
6.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
+150% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Springs
1-3
AWAY Birkenhead United
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Western Springs vs Birkenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkenhead United got the better of Western Springs 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birkenhead United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Western Springs had 47% of the ball to Birkenhead United's 53%, shots finished 5-20.

What was the final score of Western Springs vs Birkenhead United?

Western Springs 1-3 Birkenhead United in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Springs vs Birkenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western Springs 33%, draw 26%, Birkenhead United 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkenhead United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birkenhead United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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