Arlanda 4-3 Team TG FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.3
Draw
13%
4.95
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
72%
+2.5pp
13%
Draw
17%
-4.0pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Team TG FF EU Bookmakers 14%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
2.35/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.52
-1% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arlanda
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Team TG FF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 Team TG FF Team TG FF 1-2 HT 0-1 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arlanda
4-3
AWAY Team TG FF
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs Team TG FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda nicked a narrow win over Team TG FF 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arlanda as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arlanda had 55% of the ball to Team TG FF's 45%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs Team TG FF?

Arlanda 4-3 Team TG FF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs Team TG FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 75%, draw 13%, Team TG FF 12%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arlanda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arlanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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