Umea FC Akademi 4-1 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İSÇD4, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
7.18
Draw
12%
5.15
Away
80%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
16%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
28%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
36%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
11%
-2.9pp
12%
Draw
16%
-4.4pp
80%
Away Win
72%
+7.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.1pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 77%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.97
-33% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +79%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pitea IF
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
08.08.2020 Umea FC Akademi 3-3 HT 1-0 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC Akademi swept aside Pitea IF 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pitea IF at 80% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs Pitea IF?

Umea FC Akademi 4-1 Pitea IF in the İSÇD4 on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pitea IF win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 8%, draw 12%, Pitea IF 80%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pitea IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pitea IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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